MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Camilo Doval
Camilo Doval
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Camilo Doval.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Luinder Avila’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Camilo Doval wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Luinder Avila wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Camilo Doval
98.3
Luinder Avila
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
12.5%
Luinder Avila
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
23.1%
Luinder Avila
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
28.5%
Luinder Avila
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Camilo Doval
46.8%
Luinder Avila
35.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Camilo Doval
5.7%
Luinder Avila
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Camilo Doval
.297
Luinder Avila
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Camilo Doval
3.135.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
3.68
Luinder Avila
3.135.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
4.50
WHIPlower is better
Camilo Doval
.9001.98
now 1.03
1.43
Luinder Avila
.9001.98
now 1.71
1.53

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Camilo Doval
4033.40
now 17
4
Luinder Avila
4033.40
now 25
7
Winshigher is better
Camilo Doval
.0001.48
now 1
00
Luinder Avila
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCamilo Doval — buy.conf 0.73
Hold · leans sellLuinder Avila — hold.conf 0.60
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