Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryKevin
8HR →10
44R →49
32RBI ←27
2SB →12
.285AVG.285
Current Season
CarlosCategoryKevin
3HR3
22R →38
16RBI →21
1SB →9
.279AVG →.285
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Correa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.364)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Kevin McGonigle
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.369, +0.054 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.322 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Carlos Correa: 8 HR / 45 R. Kevin McGonigle: 11 HR / 50 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).