Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryWilliam
8HR →12
33R →48
7RBI →56
2SB2
.225AVG →.290
Current Season
CarlosCategoryWilliam
2HR →4
14R →31
3RBI →36
1SB1
.220AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Narváez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.291)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carlos Narváez: 8 HR / 33 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).