MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SF · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Daniel Susac.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average. Carson Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Daniel Susac wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Carson Kelly wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.9
Daniel Susac
86.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.6%
Daniel Susac
32.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.9%
Daniel Susac
5.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.2%
Daniel Susac
41.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.1%
Daniel Susac
12.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.316
Daniel Susac
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.220.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.239
Daniel Susac
.220.310
lg AVG .295
now .293
.260

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
53.20
now 2
2
Daniel Susac
53.20
now 0
2
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2023.60
now 18
16
Daniel Susac
2023.60
now 4
7
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2022.20
now 17
15
Daniel Susac
2022.20
now 11
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Daniel Susac
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeDaniel Susac — hold.conf 0.50
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