Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryDaniel
8HR ←6
35R ←15
34RBI →41
0SB0
.259AVG →.288
Current Season
CarsonCategoryDaniel
2HR ←0
18R ←4
17RBI ←11
0SB0
.289AVG →.293
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
Daniel Susac
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.426 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.324 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Carson Kelly: 8 HR / 35 R. Daniel Susac: 6 HR / 15 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).