Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryFrancisco
7HR →10
31R ←24
29RBI ←20
0SB0
.260AVG ←.242
Current Season
CarsonCategoryFrancisco
2HR →4
18R ←12
17RBI ←10
0SB0
.289AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Francisco Alvarez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.334)
Carson Kelly: 7 HR / 31 R. Francisco Alvarez: 10 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).