MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Leo Bernal
STL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Carson Kelly wins 0 (none); Leo Bernal wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
86.7
Leo Bernal
92.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
36.1%
Leo Bernal
55.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.2%
Leo Bernal
10.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.2%
Leo Bernal
29.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.0%
Leo Bernal
12.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.311
Leo Bernal
.347
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .289
.000
Leo Bernal
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .250
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
53.20
now 2
0
Leo Bernal
53.20
now 1
0
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2025.20
now 18
0
Leo Bernal
2025.20
now 2
0
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2023.80
now 17
0
Leo Bernal
2023.80
now 4
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Leo Bernal
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeLeo Bernal — hold.conf 0.50
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