MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Ryan Jeffers
MIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Jeffers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ryan Jeffers wins 5 categories (HR, R, RBI, SB, AVG); Carson Kelly wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.9
Ryan Jeffers
90.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.6%
Ryan Jeffers
41.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.9%
Ryan Jeffers
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.2%
Ryan Jeffers
23.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.1%
Ryan Jeffers
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.316
Ryan Jeffers
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .289
.239
Ryan Jeffers
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .295
.241

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
59
now 2
2
Ryan Jeffers
59
now 7
4
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2030
now 18
16
Ryan Jeffers
2030
now 26
25
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2030.40
now 17
15
Ryan Jeffers
2030.40
now 26
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0002.20
now 0
0
Ryan Jeffers
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
BuyRyan Jeffers — buy.conf 0.72
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