MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BAL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Samuel Basallo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Samuel Basallo wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Carson Kelly wins 1 (AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
88.1
Samuel Basallo
91.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.8%
Samuel Basallo
45.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
6.5%
Samuel Basallo
12.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.4%
Samuel Basallo
40.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.3%
Samuel Basallo
16.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.328
Samuel Basallo
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.248
Samuel Basallo
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .283
.224

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
511.80
now 2
3
Samuel Basallo
511.80
now 9
5
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2026.20
now 18
18
Samuel Basallo
2026.20
now 23
22
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2028.20
now 17
17
Samuel Basallo
2028.20
now 25
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0001.20
now 0
0
Samuel Basallo
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
BuySamuel Basallo — buy.conf 0.64
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