Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategorySamuel
8HR →11
35R →42
34RBI →46
0SB0
.259AVG ←.252
Current Season
CarsonCategorySamuel
2HR →9
18R →23
17RBI →25
0SB0
.289AVG ←.283
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
Samuel Basallo
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carson Kelly: 8 HR / 35 R. Samuel Basallo: 11 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).