MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of William Contreras
William Contreras
MIL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Carson Kelly wins 0 (none); William Contreras wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
86.7
William Contreras
90.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
36.1%
William Contreras
44.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.2%
William Contreras
8.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.2%
William Contreras
28.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.0%
William Contreras
9.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.311
William Contreras
.334
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.200.410
lg AVG .295
now .289
.000
William Contreras
.200.410
lg AVG .295
now .294
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
55.60
now 2
0
William Contreras
55.60
now 4
0
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2043.40
now 18
0
William Contreras
2043.40
now 31
0
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2050.40
now 17
0
William Contreras
2050.40
now 36
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0002.20
now 0
0
William Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
BuyWilliam Contreras — buy.conf 0.64
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