Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryWilliam
8HR →12
35R →48
34RBI →56
0SB →2
.259AVG →.290
Current Season
CarsonCategoryWilliam
2HR →4
18R →31
17RBI →36
0SB →1
.289AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Kelly
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carson Kelly: 8 HR / 35 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).