MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of William Contreras
William Contreras
MIL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

William Contreras.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

William Contreras wins 5 categories (HR, R, RBI, SB, AVG); Carson Kelly wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
87.7
William Contreras
89.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
37.0%
William Contreras
43.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carson Kelly
5.8%
William Contreras
7.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
25.6%
William Contreras
28.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carson Kelly
9.1%
William Contreras
9.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carson Kelly
.316
William Contreras
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carson Kelly
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .289
.241
William Contreras
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .294
.267

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
55.20
now 2
2
William Contreras
55.20
now 4
3
Runshigher is better
Carson Kelly
2037.40
now 18
15
William Contreras
2037.40
now 31
19
RBIhigher is better
Carson Kelly
2044.80
now 17
14
William Contreras
2044.80
now 36
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carson Kelly
.0002.20
now 0
0
William Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyCarson Kelly — hold.conf 0.60
BuyWilliam Contreras — buy.conf 0.64
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