MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Carson Seymour
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Carson Seymour.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. José Alvarado’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carson Seymour wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carson Seymour
97.1
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carson Seymour
10.3%
José Alvarado
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carson Seymour
16.2%
José Alvarado
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carson Seymour
23.6%
José Alvarado
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carson Seymour
39.2%
José Alvarado
29.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carson Seymour
10.1%
José Alvarado
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carson Seymour
.395
José Alvarado
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carson Seymour
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
José Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
WHIPlower is better
Carson Seymour
.9002.55
now 2.33
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.55
now 1.81
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carson Seymour
4036
now 1
2
José Alvarado
4036
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
Carson Seymour
.0001.48
now 0
00
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCarson Seymour — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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