Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryKyle
9HR9
39R ←28
44RBI ←28
0SB0
.183AVG →.228
Current Season
CarterCategoryKyle
7HR ←3
23R ←10
26RBI ←10
0SB0
.223AVG ←.211
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kyle Higashioka
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.295)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Kyle Higashioka: 9 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).