Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryOneil
10HR →19
38R →63
38RBI →61
10SB →28
.249AVG ←.242
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryOneil
5HR →13
23R →42
23RBI →41
6SB →19
.275AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).