Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryKeegan
51K ←36
4.06ERA →3.70
1.38WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←0–0
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryKeegan
34K ←12
2.54ERA ←9.88
1.20WHIP ←1.83
3W ←0
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.25)
Keegan Akin
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.328 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chad Patrick: 51 K / 4.06 ERA. Keegan Akin: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).