MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Samy Natera Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Samy Natera Jr. wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Chad Patrick wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.3
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
12.7%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
20.6%
Samy Natera Jr.
37.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
31.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
37.2%
Samy Natera Jr.
31.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
6.5%
Samy Natera Jr.
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.312
Samy Natera Jr.
.219
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
25.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.95
Samy Natera Jr.
25.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
.9001.68
now 1.20
1.34
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.68
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4046.40
now 34
24
Samy Natera Jr.
4046.40
now 3
27
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0004.20
now 3
13
Samy Natera Jr.
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0003.40
now 2
12
Samy Natera Jr.
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyChad Patrick — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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