Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryEdmundo
4HR →7
50R ←28
25RBI →41
1SB →5
.227AVG →.269
Current Season
ChaseCategoryEdmundo
5HR ←3
36R ←11
18RBI ←16
1SB →2
.269AVG ←.211
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Meidroth
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Edmundo Sosa
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.229 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Chase Meidroth: 4 HR / 50 R. Edmundo Sosa: 7 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).