Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryEric
74K ←69
4.62ERA ←4.82
1.47WHIP →1.35
4–9W ←3–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryEric
36K ←30
5.06ERA ←5.95
1.58WHIP →1.39
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Bassitt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — the 5.27 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.90 is +0.80 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.20 +1.10 vs league with no luck excuse
Chris Bassitt: 75 K / 4.61 ERA vs Eric Lauer: 70 K / 4.81 ERA. Bassitt trails in ERA by 0.20 but fans five more. Hold Bassitt; sell Lauer.

