MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeremiah Estrada
Jeremiah Estrada
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 1 (SV); Jeremiah Estrada wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
95.9
Jeremiah Estrada
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
17.0%
Jeremiah Estrada
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.6%
Jeremiah Estrada
28.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
26.6%
Jeremiah Estrada
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
38.3%
Jeremiah Estrada
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
8.5%
Jeremiah Estrada
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.305
Jeremiah Estrada
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Jeremiah Estrada
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Jeremiah Estrada
.9002.55
now 1.07
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4045.20
now 6
19
Jeremiah Estrada
4045.20
now 22
34
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0006.60
now 1
25
Jeremiah Estrada
.0006.60
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0008
now 1
16
Jeremiah Estrada
.0008
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowChris Murphy — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeJeremiah Estrada — hold.conf 0.50
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