MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Chris Roycroft
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chris Roycroft wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
95.0
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
8.2%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
15.1%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
25.4%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
43.2%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
9.8%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
.370
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Roycroft
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.27
3.70
Justin Sterner
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Chris Roycroft
.9002.55
now 3.55
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9002.55
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Roycroft
4036.40
now 3
0
Justin Sterner
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Chris Roycroft
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Roycroft — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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