MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Chris Roycroft
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Tanner Gordon
Tanner Gordon
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Roycroft.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Tanner Gordon’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chris Roycroft wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Tanner Gordon wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
94.2
Tanner Gordon
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
8.2%
Tanner Gordon
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
16.3%
Tanner Gordon
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Roycroft
26.9%
Tanner Gordon
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
43.6%
Tanner Gordon
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
14.5%
Tanner Gordon
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Roycroft
.393
Tanner Gordon
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Roycroft
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.27
3.70
Tanner Gordon
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.37
4.40
WHIPlower is better
Chris Roycroft
.9002.55
now 3.55
1.24
Tanner Gordon
.9002.55
now 1.56
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Roycroft
4053.40
now 3
13
Tanner Gordon
4053.40
now 35
39
Winshigher is better
Chris Roycroft
.000.480
now 0
00
Tanner Gordon
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Roycroft — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · leans sellTanner Gordon — hold.conf 0.60
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