Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryPeter
95K ←80
4.10ERA →3.98
1.31WHIP ←1.42
2–4W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
ChristianCategoryPeter
38K →43
2.97ERA ←3.77
1.38WHIP →1.21
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Scott
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.12)
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.98 is 0.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Christian Scott: 95 K / 4.10 ERA. Peter Lambert: 80 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).