Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryJoey
3HR →5
20R →31
34RBI ←21
0SB0
.200AVG ←.198
Current Season
ChristianCategoryJoey
4HR ←2
10R ←9
17RBI ←6
0SB0
.246AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Vázquez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.238)
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Christian Vázquez: 3 HR / 20 R. Joey Bart: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).