Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryHunter
26K →30
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–4
0SV →1–4
Current Season
CionelCategoryHunter
10K →12
5.82ERA →4.40
1.59WHIP ←1.60
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.36 is 2.68 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Hunter Gaddis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.327 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cionel Pérez: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Hunter Gaddis: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).