MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 8, 2026
Cionel Pérez
NYM·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Matt Strahm
KC·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CionelCategoryMatt
24K 43
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W 1–3
0SV0

Current Season

CionelCategoryMatt
10K 17
5.82ERA 3.86
1.59WHIP 1.29
2W 1
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cionel Pérez
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.41 is 2.73 above the ERA — regression coming
  • p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Strahm
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.97)

Cionel Pérez: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Matt Strahm: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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