Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryJakob
24K →29
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←0–0
0SV →3–6
Current Season
CionelCategoryJakob
10K →16
5.82ERA →1.75
1.59WHIP →0.78
2W ←0
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.41 is 2.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Cionel Pérez: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Jakob Junis: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).