Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJakob
23K →29
3.85ERA →3.67
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←0–0
1–2SV →3–6
Current Season
GordonCategoryJakob
14K →16
1.80ERA →1.75
0.90WHIP →0.78
4W ←0
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Jakob Junis: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).