Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryReynaldo
23K →53
3.85ERA ←3.87
1.26WHIP ←1.27
3–8W ←2–5
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryReynaldo
14K →31
1.80ERA ←3.31
0.90WHIP ←1.33
4W ←2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Reynaldo López
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.90)
Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Reynaldo López: 53 K / 3.87 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).