Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryKevin
23K →40
3.85ERA →3.66
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←1–2
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryKevin
14K →28
1.80ERA ←3.09
0.90WHIP ←1.07
4W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kevin Ginkel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.35)
Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Kevin Ginkel: 40 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).