Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryPaul
26K →32
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
CionelCategoryPaul
10K →16
5.82ERA →3.33
1.59WHIP →1.44
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.36 is 2.68 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Blackburn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.06)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cionel Pérez: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Paul Blackburn: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).