Rest of Season Projection
ClaytonCategoryTyler
38K →44
3.70ERA →3.66
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →4–10
6–12SV ←0
Current Season
ClaytonCategoryTyler
15K →28
2.30ERA ←3.16
1.21WHIP →1.17
1W →4
4SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Clayton Beeter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.83)
Clayton Beeter: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 44 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).