Rest of Season Projection
ClaytonCategoryHogan
38K →48
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.27
1–3W →2–5
6–12SV ←5–9
Current Season
ClaytonCategoryHogan
15K →31
2.30ERA ←2.60
1.21WHIP ←1.59
1W →2
4SV4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Clayton Beeter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Clayton Beeter: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Hogan Harris: 48 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).