Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryHogan
61K ←51
3.68ERA3.68
1.25WHIP ←1.27
3–8W ←2–5
0SV →5–9
Current Season
FernandoCategoryHogan
30K →31
2.19ERA ←2.60
1.30WHIP ←1.59
3W ←2
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.31)
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz: 61 K / 3.68 ERA. Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).