Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryMason
51K →57
3.68ERA3.67
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–5W →3–9
5–9SV ←0
Current Season
HoganCategoryMason
31K ←30
2.60ERA ←4.09
1.59WHIP →1.36
2W →3
4SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Fluharty
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.375 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Mason Fluharty: 57 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).