Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryMason
57K ←55
3.68ERA3.67
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–8W →3–9
0SV0
Current Season
FernandoCategoryMason
30K30
2.19ERA ←4.09
1.30WHIP ←1.36
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.20 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Fluharty
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.367 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Fernando Cruz: 57 K / 3.68 ERA. Mason Fluharty: 55 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).