Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryJacob
99K →148
4.22ERA →2.25
1.33WHIP →1.01
1–3W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
ColeCategoryJacob
45K →108
4.84ERA →1.65
1.42WHIP →0.79
1W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Ragans
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.25 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Ragans: 100 K / 4.21 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 150 K / 2.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
