Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryMartín
99K ←64
4.22ERA →4.08
1.33WHIP1.33
1–3W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
ColeCategoryMartín
45K ←42
4.84ERA →2.79
1.42WHIP →1.06
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Ragans
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.08 is 1.06 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Ragans: 100 K / 4.21 ERA. Martín Pérez: 65 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).