Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryJordan
31K →34
3.76ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ColeCategoryJordan
18K18
5.01ERA ←6.27
1.54WHIP →1.23
1W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Sulser
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.378 elevated and unstable — the 6.49 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 5.72 is +1.62 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.32 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Sulser: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Jordan Leasure: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
