MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Hill
Tim Hill
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Tim Hill’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cole Winn wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Tim Hill wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cole Winn
95.4
Tim Hill
89.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
14.8%
Tim Hill
6.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
22.8%
Tim Hill
10.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cole Winn
35.9%
Tim Hill
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
43.6%
Tim Hill
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
6.7%
Tim Hill
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cole Winn
.337
Tim Hill
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cole Winn
3.485.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.45
Tim Hill
3.485.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.03
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Cole Winn
1.111.55
now 1.45
1.30
Tim Hill
1.111.55
now 1.21
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cole Winn
4031
now 23
5
Tim Hill
4031
now 11
3
Winshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0002.80
now 2
01
Tim Hill
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellCole Winn — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellTim Hill — hold.conf 0.60
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