Rest of Season Projection
ColemanCategoryJacob
47K →155
4.10ERA →2.20
1.30WHIP →0.98
0–0W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ColemanCategoryJacob
8K →108
3.14ERA →1.65
0.98WHIP →0.79
0W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Coleman Crow
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.51)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.20 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Coleman Crow: 47 K / 4.10 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 155 K / 2.20 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).