Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryFernando
33K →47
3.69ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–8W ←2–7
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryFernando
23K →30
2.14ERA ←2.19
0.81WHIP ←1.30
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.77 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.99 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Holderman: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Fernando Cruz: 47 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).