Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryGus
37K ←35
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
3–9W ←1–2
0SV →5–9
Current Season
ColinCategoryGus
23K ←20
2.14ERA ←4.09
0.81WHIP ←1.55
3W ←1
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Gus Varland
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.91)
Colin Holderman: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Gus Varland: 35 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).