Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryMichael
79K ←62
5.23ERA →4.95
1.39WHIP →1.28
5–11W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryMichael
49K ←44
4.70ERA →2.98
1.37WHIP →1.10
5W ←3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Rea
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.84 +1.74 vs league with no luck excuse
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.41 is 2.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Rea: 80 K / 5.22 ERA. Michael McGreevy: 63 K / 4.95 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).