Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryWalbert
85K →87
4.78ERA →3.93
1.36WHIP1.36
6–12W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryWalbert
49K ←41
4.70ERA →2.44
1.37WHIP ←1.38
5W ←2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Rea
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.14 +1.04 vs league with no luck excuse
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.31 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Rea: 85 K / 4.78 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 87 K / 3.93 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).