Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryJosé
16HR ←5
43R ←37
56RBI ←28
2SB →26
.194AVG →.232
Current Season
ColsonCategoryJosé
15HR ←4
28R ←20
36RBI ←15
1SB →14
.229AVG →.263
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
José Caballero
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 43 R. José Caballero: 5 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).