Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryWilly
16HR ←15
43R43
56RBI ←35
2SB2
.194AVG →.233
Current Season
ColsonCategoryWilly
15HR ←8
28R28
36RBI ←23
1SB1
.229AVG →.239
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Willy Adames
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 43 R. Willy Adames: 15 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).