Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryDansby
16HR ←11
43R →54
56RBI ←43
2SB →8
.194AVG ←.192
Current Season
ColsonCategoryDansby
15HR ←7
28R →34
36RBI ←27
1SB →5
.229AVG ←.183
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dansby Swanson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse
Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 43 R. Dansby Swanson: 11 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).