Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryMookie
16HR ←10
43R ←38
56RBI ←43
2SB ←0
.194AVG →.237
Current Season
ColsonCategoryMookie
15HR ←6
28R ←14
36RBI ←16
1SB ←0
.229AVG ←.196
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.328)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.174 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Colson Montgomery: 16 HR / 43 R. Mookie Betts: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).