Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryNolan
7HR ←6
33R →40
11RBI →40
3SB ←1
.273AVG ←.222
Current Season
ColtCategoryNolan
0HR →8
21R →28
7RBI →28
2SB ←1
.273AVG ←.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.322 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Nolan Arenado
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 33 R. Nolan Arenado: 6 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).