Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryMatt
11HR ←8
38R ←26
40RBI ←39
2SB →4
.202AVG →.246
Current Season
ColtonCategoryMatt
4HR4
17R ←14
18RBI →21
1SB →2
.227AVG ←.211
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Matt Vierling
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 38 R. Matt Vierling: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).