MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BAL · CF
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Portrait of Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEX · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Colton Cowser.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average. Evan Carter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Colton Cowser wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Evan Carter wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Colton Cowser
86.9
Evan Carter
87.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Colton Cowser
36.6%
Evan Carter
37.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Colton Cowser
10.6%
Evan Carter
6.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Colton Cowser
29.5%
Evan Carter
19.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Colton Cowser
15.1%
Evan Carter
11.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Colton Cowser
.314
Evan Carter
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Colton Cowser
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .227
.200
Evan Carter
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .171
.184

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Colton Cowser
57.20
now 4
4
Evan Carter
57.20
now 6
3
Runshigher is better
Colton Cowser
2025.20
now 17
19
Evan Carter
2025.20
now 22
18
RBIhigher is better
Colton Cowser
2024.20
now 18
21
Evan Carter
2024.20
now 18
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Colton Cowser
.00012.20
now 1
1
Evan Carter
.00012.20
now 9
8
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyColton Cowser — hold.conf 0.60
SellEvan Carter — sell.conf 0.60
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