Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryEvan
11HR ←8
38R ←37
40RBI ←30
2SB →15
.202AVG ←.186
Current Season
ColtonCategoryEvan
4HR →6
17R →22
18RBI18
1SB →9
.227AVG ←.171
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 38 R. Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).