Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryTrevor
12HR ←7
34R →43
36RBI ←28
2SB →3
.215AVG →.242
Current Season
ColtonCategoryTrevor
4HR ←3
17R →26
18RBI ←17
1SB →2
.227AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.325)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Trevor Larnach
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Colton Cowser: 12 HR / 35 R. Trevor Larnach: 8 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).